Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.375549 0.492059 0.619310 0.766566 0.930435 1.105591 1.305449
2025-05-11 0.232759 0.389543 0.579897 0.817931 1.099337 1.414697 1.788765
2025-05-18 0.148491 0.313748 0.533483 0.824487 1.182652 1.595880 2.097152
2025-05-25 0.075218 0.226524 0.453837 0.775520 1.188603 1.679104 2.286858
2025-06-01 0.030017 0.157345 0.381406 0.721926 1.177646 1.733211 2.434495
2025-06-08 0.009679 0.115785 0.338633 0.699986 1.200387 1.823120 2.620297
2025-06-15 0.002584 0.095719 0.325345 0.716099 1.270121 1.969050 2.871910
2025-06-22 NaN 0.071716 0.298281 0.707743 1.304400 2.068712 3.065888
2025-06-29 NaN 0.049490 0.266795 0.688074 1.320249 2.142935 3.227075
2025-07-06 NaN 0.044656 0.271923 0.726110 1.415859 2.319085 3.514010
2025-07-13 NaN 0.042129 0.281837 0.771751 1.522131 2.509080 3.818326
2025-07-20 NaN 0.038828 0.288722 0.811947 1.620545 2.688912 4.110143
2025-07-27 NaN 0.040796 0.312224 0.884183 1.770151 2.942118 4.502287
2025-08-03 NaN 0.037238 0.319536 0.929252 1.882043 3.147967 4.837757
2025-08-10 NaN 0.028369 0.307443 0.939027 1.941881 3.284850 5.086053
2025-08-17 NaN 0.013333 0.262487 0.885816 1.907210 3.295734 5.174798
2025-08-24 NaN 0.003849 0.218908 0.828457 1.862408 3.290412 5.240808
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000721 0.194863 0.804806 1.865897 3.347774 5.384668
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000152 0.191238 0.822155 1.932195 3.489979 5.637098
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.176014 0.813163 1.956566 3.574611 5.815239
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.156500 0.791992 1.960371 3.630263 5.955431
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.164084 0.832915 2.063566 3.823026 6.273341
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.175086 0.881925 2.179898 4.034096 6.615195